Coho Ho Ho Rally 2014: Brads weather brief August 30 Saturday

Brad Baker Coho ho ho weather August 30, 2014

 

Except a couple of boats that are departing later, it looks as though the remaining fleet still on the water is closing in on San Francisco.  I'll continue weather reports through Monday unless everyone has reached SF by before then.   All the boats appear to be in California Waters so I will confine my reports to that vicinity.

 

There are no significant changes to the forecast.  The pacific high pressure is moving in from the west combining with the inland thermal low.  The strongest wind field has been blowing south of Cape Mendocino.  As the high builds this wind field will expand further North and build with the strongest winds in the usual location between the capes.  It does appear that the wind field will extend well south of SF though for moderate to strong NW winds all the way to SF.   In general the gradients are going to tighten and it will be pretty darn windy at times in these Northern California waters.

 

4 day forecast for the Northern California Waters

 

Today August 30 – North winds 10-20 north of Cape Mendocino.   NW winds 15-25 South of Cape Mendocino.  Less wind 10 miles or closer to shore except Pt. Arena South.  Seas, NW swell 4-6' at 6 seconds, wind waves 3-6'.  Some remaining south swell

 

Sunday August 31 – North winds 10-20 north of Cape Mendocino.  South of the Cape NW winds 15-30 with the strongest winds Pt. Arena South.  Seas, NW swell 7' with wind waves 4-7'.

 

Monday September 1 – The wind field should extend to the OR border by the afternoon.  N to NW winds 15-30 with higher guests.  Combined seas to 12' (there will be steep breaking waves)

 

Tuesday September 2 -  NW wind 15-30 with gusts to 35.  Strongest winds between the capes.  Combined seas to 13'

 

Wednesday September 3 – N to NW winds 15-30 with higher gusts.  Strongest winds between the capes.  Combined seas 11-13 '

 

Brad

 

Coho Ho Ho Rally 2014 Brads Weather brief: August 29 Friday

Brad Baker Coho ho ho weather August 29 2014

 

Things are in flux, the pacific high pressure is centered clear out around 170 degrees of Longitude.  There is moderate low pressure centered just off SE Alaska.  A weak cold front passed through the Pacific NW earlier this morning and the PNW is under the influence of upper level low pressure, bringing southerly surface winds, precipitation at times and cooler temperatures here in WA.   The PNW weather influences the weather off Oregon bringing mostly light winds with some southerly directions in the short term. For N. CA short term forecast has wind for the entire forecast area with that thermal inland low generating enough pressure gradient off the N. CA coast to generate some moderate NW wind (granted some might call what I'm calling moderate as strong, but trust me the winds can blow a lot stronger in these waters).

 

For the longer term the models continue to show the pacific high moving east, setting up shop at approx. 42N 142W by Tuesday Sept 2nd.  At about 1026 mb the GFS weather model doesn't have the high pressure being all that strong which allows disturbed cooler weather to persist over the PNW into next week.  With high pressure moving closer to the coast the gradients should increase in N. CA and the winds should pipe up From Southern Oregon all the way to SF with the strongest breeze from just N. of Cape Blanco to just south of Cape Mendocino.  Sound familiar?  The wind field (which will have been blowing strongest from about Mendocino south) is forecast to extend further north late in the forecast period.

 

Bottom line is relatively light off Oregon, with Moderate winds to 25kts for N. CA, with winds increasing come Tuesday and extending into Southern to Central Oregon by Tuesday.

 

4 day Forecast:

 

Today August 29

 

Oregon – Variable wind to 10 knots, except Cape Blanco south, winds 10-15 gusts to20 from the NW.  Seas, 3' NW swell at 10 seconds and wind waves to 2' (2-4' S. of Blanco).  They are also forecasting the S. swell from Cape Blanco south 2 to 3' at 15 seconds.

 

N. CA – NW winds 15-25 kts.  I've kinda stopped mentioning this, but the winds will probably tend to be diurnal, responding to the heating and cooling of the land.  This means you can expect strongest winds late afternoon and evening hours.  That said it pretty much can blow any bloody time.  The winds will likely be lighter 10 miles or closer to shore.  This may not be the case from about Pt. Arena south where it could stay breezy closer to shore.  Seas, NW swell, 3-5' at 9 seconds with wind waves to 6'.   S swell 3-5' at 13 seconds.

 

Saturday August 30

 

OR – SW wind to 10 knots with west swell 5 feet at 10 seconds, wind waves to 2' but probably less.   You will likely see a bit more wind  form W or NW and waves Blanco south, but nothing extreme.

 

N. CA – NW wind 15-25 knots with gusts to 30.  Seas NW swell to 9 ' at 10 seconds with wind waves to 7'.  S swell 2-4' at 12 seconds.

 

Sunday August 31

 

OR  - Variable winds 0-15 kits. Seas NW swell about 5' with wind waves 2' or less.  Again, Blanco south will likely see more consistent wind nw 5-15 with gusts to 20.

 

N. CA – NW wind 15 – 30, higher gusts possible if not likely.  There will probably be some relief closer to shore but the pattern isn't as strong for this and it does look like from Point Arena south there won't be any relief close to shore.  Seas NW swell 6-9' at 10 seconds wind waves to 5-7',  S swell continues 2-4'.

 

Monday September 1

 

OR from Columbia river to Coos bay – NW wind 10-15 kts, W swell 5' with wind waves 2-3'

 

S. OR and N. CA – N to NW wind 15 -30.  Seas NW swell 7-10' with wind waves 4-7'.

 

Tuesday September 2

 

Central Oregon North – NW wind 10 -20, gusts to 25.  W swell 5' with wind waves to 3'

 

S. OR and N. CA – N to NW wind 15 to 30.  Seas NW swell, 7-10' with wind waves 4-7'.

 

Brad

Coho Ho Ho Rally 2014 - Boat locations and news August 28 Thursday

boat locations as i have recieved them till now,  karl

3:29 pm Mike posted:  Andante arrived in Berkeley about noon after meandering around the bay sight seeing. Mabruka arrived and is moored on the SF waterfront. Apropos is in here as well, thinking they went to the SF waterfront as well, after

a couple celebratory drinks I can¹t remember but they are in here. Raptor was just behind all of us and was headed to the Beneteau dealer for some repairs near Alameda?. Friday reported they they were refueling in Bodega to arrive under the GG Friday (no pun intended).

The Berkeley Yacht Club is fantastic, cheap drinks, free showers
available, great view of the entire bay and I will probably get in on the
beer can race tomorrow night (because I have racing blood in me as well as
cruising blood).

1:57 pm, Kaye posted:  Sonamara passing Shelter Cove, north of Fort Bragg, CA. Namaste, Impulse, and Abby Normal in general vicinity, I believe. At last contact, everyone was planning to go to Bodega Bay, arriving tomorrow afternoon.

All is quiet out here on the high seas.  Safe travels,

12:16 pm  Amy posted:  Millie J is safely docked in Santa Barbara Marina slip O15.  The trip from San Francisco was  uneventful...fair seas and very little wind for three days.  Got to say, I think waves and winds makes it a lot more exciting.  The only events were dodging cargo ships and turning Point Conception which had 30 knots winds and 3-4 foot wind waves.  The southern swells were not bad at all. We were traveling about 10 nautical miles away from the coast.

We will spend the weekend exploring the Channel Islands before ending our trip in Long Beach.

11:14 am Lee posted and fyi:  [from the Cal list]  This morning I went to Cabrillo beach and discovered and photographed breaking waves inside the Los Angeles light house making the entrance extremely dangerous. Also there were perfect surfing waves not only on the outer beach but inside on the calm side. As the Westerly picked up it created an offshore on the inner beach creating perfect tube shaped waves between 2 and 4 feet. The calm side beach has not had surf since the 60s-early 70s. Additionally, I got a couple pictures of the water crashing on LA light about 1/2 way to the top.

An exciting day!

6:25 am, Brad posted:

Abby Normal 40 42.86n, 124 30.17w

Sonamara 40 30n, 124 35w
Namaste 40 33n, 124 57w
Impulse 40 28n, 124 38w
These positions via VHF. No answers on ssb 4a, 8a, 12a, or 2128.
Boats checking in making for Bodega Bay. All is well. Cheers,

7:50 pm thursday Scott posted:  It's great and hard to hear at the same time the fantastic trips you are all having. Velvet Sky will leave Coos Bay on the 2nd after having made a trip to Idaho to visit with friends and family.We hope to catch up to you by San Diego. Take care

Coho Ho Ho Sailing Rally - Brads Weather brief August 28 Thursday

Brad Baker Coho ho ho weather August 28 2014

 

The GFS weather model looks very different today than it did yesterday beyond about day 3.   This happens pretty often actually.   The overall pattern is the same with high pressure retrograding to the west and then filling again to the East and an upper level trough setting up residence over the Pacific NW.   The difference is the strength and location of the Pacific high.  The current model run has it about 5mb weaker and further to the north come Tuesday.   So, there is some uncertainty in the longer range forecast.  Yesterday I said it was going to fill further south on the N. CA coast, where the current model run has the max winds filling a bit further north, and blowing reasonably hard in the usual locations between the capes down to SF starting Tuesday.   The news with the most impact is it does look as though the gradients will remain tighter than previously forecast from about Mendocino south to SF in the shorter term.  The current GFS model supports this and the National weather service is calling for low end small craft warnings in this area for wind and seas.  It does look as though the wind will be less close to shore at least in the stretch closer to Mendocino.  Looking further north, wind should be reasonably mellow North of Cape Blanco over the next 4 days

 

In other news, formerly Hurricane Marie is now a tropical storm and continues to weaken and shrink in size.  She will remain well offshore and will not be a factor for the Ho ho group other than the lingering S swell off the CA waters.

 

4 day forecast

 

Today August 28, 2014

 

OR – N to NW wind 5-15, strongest winds in the far south of the state.  Seas, wind waves 1-4' with a S swell 2-3' at 13 seconds

 

N. CA – N to NW wind 5-15 building to as high as 20 later in the day.  Seas 4-6' waves from the NW at 7 seconds.  S swell to 7' at 14 seconds

 

Friday August 29

 

OR – looks pretty light with N wind 5-10, maybe a bit more near the CA border.  Sea, up to 3' waves from NW at 9 seconds with a 2' swell from the S at 15 seconds

 

N. CA – N to NW wind 15-25 with gusts to 30.  Less wind likely within 10 miles of coast.  Seas, NW swell to 4 to 5' with wind waves 3-6'.  S swell 4-5' at 15 seconds

 

Saturday August 30

 

OR – SW winds in the North half to 10 kts veering to the W late.  Light to NE winds in the in the Southern half to 10 kts with possible gust to 15 late.   Seas, 4' swell from the NW with wind waves to 1' or less.  There will probably be some lingering south swell but likely under 2'

 

N.  CA – NW winds 15-30, less closer to shore.  Seas, NW swell 4-6' with wind waves to 7'.  Remaining S swell to around 3 or 4' at 13 seconds

 

Sunday August 31

 

OR – W to NW wind 5-10 with gusts to 15.  Wind will build closer to the CA border perhaps to 20. NW swell 5' with wind waves to 2'. 

 

N. CA – NW wind 15-25 with gusts to 30. Less wind 10 miles or closer to shore.   NW swell 8-10' at 8 seconds with wind waves 4-7'.  S swell to 3'

 

Monday September 1

 

OR – N to NW wind 10-20 with the strongest wind in the south ½ .  Seas, NW swell 5-6' with wind waves 2 to 4'

 

N. CA – NW wind 15-25 with gusts to 30.  Less wind 10 miles or closer to shore.  NW swell 8-10' at 8 seconds with wind waves 4-7'.  S swell to 3'

 

So, based on reports from the sailors who have already made SF, conditions can and do vary.  I know many of the boats found that they had winds and seas exceeding the forecast at times and the reverse was true with lighter winds as well.     The National weather service forecast does call for less wind closer to shore.  However, the models show the gradients closer to shore this time around and I would not be surprised if that 10 mile zone does have at least moderate winds.  Another thing to keep in mind is fog.  There will likely be fog at times for the whole forecast area.

 

Coho Ho Ho Rally 2014 - Brads Weather Brief August 27 Wednesday- Finally!

Brad Baker Coho ho ho weather August 27 2014

Surfs up in California!  It made NPR this morning.  I was listening on the way in to the office on how surfers and boogey boarders are flocking to the California Beaches to take advantage of the large swell.  Well isn't that swell (sorry I couldn't resist).  The S to SW swell should continue with any significance through Friday, but should really back off after that.

The overall pattern continues with a transition in store for the PNW as we go to more zonal flow with an upper level trough and heights fall.  The weather will definitely cool off up here in Washington and precipitation comes into the forecast starting Friday through into early next week for Washington.

The pacific high pressure is forecast to be fairly dynamic as it weakens and retrogrades from its current Longitude of about 140 degrees, with another high building out at about 160 degrees longitude.   The GFS model then has the new high pressure building and moving east to a pressure of 1030 mb centered at about 42N 148 West by early Tuesday. 

Inland of California and Nevada will still be heating, continuing the inland thermal low, but, initially, there will not be the nearby high pressure to increase the pressure gradients (remember more pressure change/gradient over short distance means higher winds).  Thus the wind speeds along the Oregon and California coasts should be less over the next couple of days.   Now bring in the Pacific NW weather keeping things cooler in WA and Oregon all the way to the CA border.  As the high pressure builds and pushes back to the east the pressure gradients will increase, BUT the location of the strongest gradients look like they will be further south.   Right now it appears there will be stronger NW winds from about Cape Mendocino or perhaps Point Reyes South at least to Point Conception, really starting to crank up on Sunday evening.   North of Cape Mendocino to Blanco it does appear that the gradients are not going to back off as much as I previously forecast for the Weds – Sat period  and there should be some decent sailing in the Southern Oregon to SF area from now through this weekend.  So maybe it won't be a motorboat ride after all. 

Those of you in Newport – if you wish to avoid strong winds near SF, you best get going.  It looks like it will start cranking up come Sunday afternoon in the waters south of Mendocino for the foreseeable future.

Here is my 4 day forecast:

Today August 27, 2014

OR – N winds 10-20 with gusts to 25.  Seas are likely to be the most challenging around Cape Blanco where they will be interacting with the south swell.  Seas, NW swell at 3', 8 seconds and N to NW wind waves 2-5'.  S -SW swell to 3' at 15 seconds.  Keep in mind you can always expect fog this time of year in this area of the world, usually worst in the mornings

N. CA – N to NW winds 5-15 with possible periods or gusts to 20.   Seas, Combined wind wave and swell from the NW to 4' at 8 seconds.   S swell 5-6 feet at 15 seconds.  Ditto on the fog thing I mentioned for OR.

This is probably a good time to mention Four Fathom bank also known as the "Potato Patch".    It is well marked on your charts and resides to WNW of the entrance of SF bay and is just north of the main channel.   Much of the time conditions are fine in this area, but when conditions are right (larger waves with opposing wind and or current) you will get breaking waves.  It's possible we will have those conditions over the next 4 days.   It's probably best to chart a course either side of the bank.  For those that have internet here is a link to a You-tube video showing breaking waves at this bank:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o10vUZVa0_M

Thursday August 28

OR – N wind 10-20 with higher gust possible.  Seas, combined wind waves and swell to 5 or 6' at 8 seconds.  South swell nearer the border with CA, 3' at 15 seconds.

N. CA – N to NW wind 5-20 with the stronger breeze building in the afternoon or evening hours.  NW waves to 5' at 7 seconds.  S swell to 5-7' at 13 seconds

Friday August 29

OR – N to NW wind 5-15, getting lighter in the late evening.  Seas NW waves 3-4' at 9 seconds.  Near CA border you can expect S swell to 2' at 12 seconds

N. CA – N to NW wind 10-20 possibly building to 25 closer to SF.  Seas, NW swell 3-5' at 9 seconds with wind waves to 2-6'.  S. swell 3-5' at 11 seconds .

Saturday August 30

OR – W to NW winds 0-10 knots, Seas, waves to 2-3'.   Probably foggy or misty at times.

N. CA – how about NNW wind 10-25 with NNW waves to 8'.  More wind toward SF.  There will likely be some left over S swell to 3' as well.

Sunday August 31 (is it really already the end of August?  Arrgh)

OR – wind W to NW or even N 5-15 knots.  The further south you go the more wind you will get and the further N it will be.  Seas, NW swell to 5 feet with wind waves 2-4'

N. CA – NW wind 10-30, with the wind building in the afternoon and evening hours.  The strongest winds will be closer to SF.  Seas, NW swell 6-8 feet at 8 seconds with wind waves 3-7 feet.  The SW swell still probably there to 3' at a period of 10 seconds or so.  Bumpy for sure.

Brad

Coho Ho Ho Rally 2014 - boat locations and news August 27 Wednesday

[boat location email was delayed because my internet was down, again.  karl]

2:42 pm Kaye posted:  Here's the update to the update. The Sonamara, Namaste, and Impulse bunch plan to book it straight to Bodega Bay with Impulse stopping in Crescent City for fuel. Thanks Galatea for the bad fuel info! Message was radioed to Impulse.   Calm seas and the fog has lifted.  Take care all,  Kaye s/v Sonamara

2:38 pm, Kevin on m/v Andante posted:  Hey all, just back into internet range. Lost it around Mendocino. We left Brookings and the weather looked good and we decided to keep on going along with Rapture who we picked up at Brookings. We just passed Fort Bragg and computer says we should arrive under the bridge late morning.  Status - AIS antenna dead, near miss with a fishing boat again right of Cape Mendocino (2nd time this trip we've had to take evasive action in the night to avoid a collision). Thankfully as the AIS was dying, it decided one last breath during this maneuvering cluster which helped us sort out our actions about 200 times better than just radar. Near miss with a whale this morning thanks to Boo's driving skills. 

We are headed to Berkely Marina.   Anyone have a SWR antenna tester???

10:18 Bradley posted:  Abby Normal left Brookings this morning bound for Crescent City. From there we intend to travel to Eureka, staging for a daylight rounding of Cape Mendocino Friday. The effluent system is working again. I will plan on trying the net tomorrow morning at 6am on 4A, 8A and 12A again. Have had no takers for a couple of days, but then we were tied up at a dock last night texts seem to work fine. If you have text capability just text me your positions and I'll include that.   We are currently at 41 55.792n, 124 7.042w. Wind 2.8k from 180m. Sea is a bathtub in 1/4 mi viz fog.

Cheers,

10:06 am, Kaye posted:  Good morning fellow Hoho'ers,  Sonamara just passed Cape Sebastian, OR. Would guess Namaste to be about 2 hrs ahead. They had Impulse in sight. Namaste plans to head into Crescent City, CA, tonight. Unclear if Impulse plans to do this also.   Quite a bumpy ride yesterday and throughout night. Today better. Headwind of 8kts with 3 ft swells from NW. Getting foggy again.  Cheers,  Kaye

12:11 pm today Steve posted:  Galatea here in SF.   If anyone is headed to Crescent City use caution at the fuel dock there. We filled our Port tank from the diesel low flow fuel pump there and found a significant amount of water in our purchase.  I was changing the oil and putting on new filters after our trip down and decided to polish the Port tank which I had not used since we filled near empty in Crescent City. Still polishing and have pulled almost 1/2 gallon of water in 70 gallons of fuel. The tanks were clean prior to departing so I know it was from the docks there.  If you can pass on fueling here I would recommend that or at the least pre filter as you fill if you have the option.  Maybe pump a  quart in a glass container first and see what your getting.  Just FYI.  Good luck out there.

9:38 am, posted today:  Impulse is 42.11/124.38.  We have had vhf contact with Namaste and Sonomara this morning who are ahead of us and all is well.  We all were planning to beat it to SF but there is rumor of not so good weather so we are anxiously waiting for Brad's weather report.

10:38 am today Millie J posted:  1026 hrs Wednesday August 27th...currently at N35 38.6 W 121 23.8 (about 10 miles west of Pt. Piedras Blancas) motoring at a heading of 96m at 6-6.5 knots.  The wind is 0-10 knots from N to NNW.   The Southerly swell began to build overnight and is about 6-8' at about 12 second period...just big rollers from the south.  Temp is 72 (was nice to NOT do watch in foulies last night!) and  Pressure is 30.05 in and rising - consistent with the local forecast for warmer, dry air...no fog last night nor this AM...we were able to sail a bit yesterday and hope to do so today as the wind becomes a bit more consistent...unfortunately we are going to likely need a fuel stop before making our final stop in long beach CA...it seems our options are Morro Bay, Santa Barbara or Ventura / Oxnard.  I know from experience that Ventura and Oxnard are pretty exposed to southerly swells, and Morro Bay sounds like a tricky bar crossing in the best of times...does anyone have experience or knowledge re: Santa Barbara?  we are going to call as we get a bit closer in and get cell coverage - just wondering if anyone has any additional insight?  looks like we would likely enter early tomorrow AM.  boat and crew are all happy healthy and secure. fishing line is out :)

12:20 am last night Jim posted:  Apropos Update - 35 nm from Pt Reyes, motor sailing in 10kt northerly, small NW swell.

yesterday 9:44 pm Morris posted:  Impulsive left San Fran this morning and motored to the Breakwater Cove Marina at Monterey.  We had planned to head out tomorrow but the southerly swells from the hurricane will make anchoring difficult so we are staying a day or two to let the swells die down.

Morris and Debbie

yesterday, Millie J posted:  as of Tuesday August 26th 1800 hrs...N 36 59.4 W 122 27..0 (slightly NW of Monterey Bay)...Sailing with drifter and pole at 134 M at 4.4 knots in 8-12 knots of wind from NW.  Pressure is 29.95 in Hg and steady.  Temp is 75 degrees with beautiful sunny weather.  We motored from SF till about 1600 when then winds finally clocked and held steady to about 10knots.  We believe we were tapped by a small whale earlier in the day while motoring...felt / heard a thump like hitting a log in the puget sound...after the bump, Amy saw a tail about 4-6' across heading aft and downward under the rudder...no issues from whatever it was....other than that nothing...all is well hope you are all well too...

Coho Ho Ho Rally 2014 Weather August 26 Tuesday

Brad Baker's Coho ho ho weather compiled 10:30 pdt August 26 2014

 

My apologies for the late forecast today!   I'd much rather Nerd out on weather, but I've had to make a living and have spent the morning on the phone.

 

Hurricane Marie has become a shadow of her former self and is now a Category 2 storm with max winds of 85 kts.   She is still a large storm, as hurricanes go, with tropical storm force winds extending well out from the hurricanes center.  The forecast is for Marie to continue weakening and I suspect she will be downgraded to a tropical storm tomorrow.  As she heads NW she will transition to a "Post Tropical Cyclone" the day after tomorrow, but will likely still have gale force winds through the next 4 days.  Again, the biggest issue for those of you travelling off the coast will be S to SW swell.  The peak swell is forecast to occur Wednesday and then will take 3 or 4 more days to wind down.   The National Weather Service says the largest waves will be occurring from about Pt. Reyes south.   In deep water the waves shouldn't be much of a concern other than being a tad uncomfortable.  The largest issues is when travelling over shoals, across bars or when the wind and waves oppose the waves.  Keep this in mind.

 

The only real change to the forecast is, maybe, perhaps I backed off too much on the N wind speeds in my last forecast.  The good news is it may not shut off entirely, but be quite manageable winds starting Wednesday for most of the forecast area.   The models show the pacific high weakening over the next few days before re-establishing staring for the weekend.  Later this week a week upper level low will slide into the PNW bringing W to SW winds by Saturday to the WA and N. OR coast.  We could get some precipitation here in Washington during that time, which, by the way is not the best for painting a beach house!

 

If you are north of the Columbia River, let me know.  I plan to stop forecasting for that area.   As a matter of fact I plan to stop forecasting for all of you once you have all reached SF or south.  I will be available should you wish for me to take a peek at expected conditions, but won't do a dailiy forecast once the last boat arrives in SF, which should be, I believe in the next few days.

 

Forecast:

I believe I'm done with Washington unless I hear otherwise from one of you.   But FYI the forecasted winds for the WA coast is for NW winds 15 kts or less through Friday and W to SW winds to 10 knots on Saturday.  Light swell to 6' during this time

 

For Oregon and N. CA the forecast isn't all that dynamic over the next few days so I'm going to lump each zone into one forecast for the four days.

 

Oregon waters – N winds to 25 with higher gusts today.  N winds 5-20 Wednesday through Friday.  W winds in the Northern portion on Saturday to 10 kts with NW winds in the southern half to 10 kts for Saturday.  For the seas, the largest wind waves and swells will be today with combined seas to 7' from the N to NW at 8 seconds.  In the southern half combine those seas with a 3' S swell at 15 seconds.  The NW seas will diminish over the next 4 days down to about 4'.  The S. swell is forecast to continue for the next 4 days for the waters nearer the border

 

N. CA Waters – For most of the area today the forecast is for SW winds 0-10 kts.  The exception is near the border where it should still be blowing from the NE to 15 kts.  For Weds – Sat winds are expected for the most part to blow from the NW and 15kts or less.  There will probably be exceptions where the wind could kick up into the low 20's for fairly brief periods.   Seas, the NW swell should be running at 4 – 6' today but will diminish to 4' or less Weds – Saturday.  The South swell is forecast to peak to as high as 8' with the wave height increasing the further South you are in these waters.  The wave period for these waves will be 13 to 16 seconds.   The south swell should slowly diminish in height to be 3-4' by Saturday.

 

Brad